The Point: The Republican Party isn't who you think it is


June 5, 2019  | by Chris Cillizza and Lauren Dezenski

The Republican Party isn't who you think it is

There's a common trope in politics that the Republican Party is composed of, and controlled by, affluent white men with stacks of Ivy League degrees amongst them. That might have been true at some point in the history of the Grand Old Party, but it sure as heck isn't an accurate picture of Donald Trump's Republican Party.

A single slide in a new PowerPoint presentation by GOP pollster Bill McInturff shows a) who the Republican Party is and b) the massive transformation it has undergone in just the last decade.

Here it is:



What the slide shows is simple: The Republican Party of 2010-2014 (and likely before that) was composed primarily of white voters (90%), with a slight tilt in that group to non-college educated whites.

Trump's election in 2016 radically changed that mix. Non-college educated whites soared to almost 6 in 10 Republicans voters while white voters with a college degree or more dipped to just 1 in 3 GOP voters. And that trend continued -- and accelerated -- in the 2018 midterms with the less than 3 in 10 Republicans being whites with college degrees or higher.

That's remarkable. Equally stunning is this data point from McInturff: In 2010, Republican candidates won white college-educated voters by 19 points. In 2018? The party lost that group by 8 points. That's a HUGE 27-point shift among what had long been considered a pillar of the Republican base -- in just eight years' time!

The problem for Republicans is that their margins among non-college whites haven't increased in anything close to the same way the party's share of college educated whites has dropped. In 2010, Republicans won non-college educated white by 30 points. In 2018, the GOP won that same group by 24.

And, it goes without saying that Republicans' inability to grow their non-white ranks in any meaningful way also lends to its demographic issues.

The Point: The ways in which Donald Trump's election transformed the Republican Party are many and varied. But this just might be one of the most important ones.

-- Chris

QUOTE OF THE DAY

"I just wanna get out and do something so I don't get fat, I guess."

-- Sen. Chuck Grassley, 85, on why he runs three miles four days a week.

Tariffs


President Donald Trump wants to use tariffs as a way to force Mexico into stopping illegal immigration at the US-Mexico border -- by charging increasingly higher amounts on the Mexican-made goods coming into the US. Those higher costs will be paid by American consumers purchasing the products.

The proposed 5% tariff would begin on June 10 and, if Mexico does not act as Trump demands, tariffs would go up to 10% by July, 15% by August, 20% by September and reach a permanent level of 25% by October.

Republican senators are NOT excited about the plan.

If we define this officially:

It's a noun, defined as a tax of goods as they pass from one country to another, according to the New International Encyclopedia.

Use it in a sentence:

Republican senators are balking at Trump's proposed tariffs against Mexico, which would raise fees on Mexican exports to the US like avocados, cars, computer parts and alcohol

CHRIS' GOOD READS

How Donald Trump for years used the royal family to gin up publicity for his properties via the KFILE team

Edward-Isaac Dovere on the stakes for Joe Biden in the first debates

Why Biden's lead is so steady

Every "Black Mirror" episode, ranked

This story of Pfizer and Alzheimer's will make you mad. Very mad.

11 new science fiction and fantasy books to check out in early June

MUSICAL INTERLUDE

Gary Clark Jr. + Tiny Desk = Wow.

🎇A FOURTH OF JULY TO REMEMBER 🎇

President Donald Trump is following through on his promise to super-charge the nation's Fourth of July celebration in Washington this year.

Trump is expected to speak at the Lincoln Memorial during the event, according to The Washington Post. Presidents traditionally opt to celebrate from the White House.

IT'S OUT THERE

The FBI just released its documents on one of America's most storied creatures/legends (depending on who you ask) -- Bigfoot.

The FBI Records Vault today posted online 22 digitized pages of documents, news clippings and outreach from the bureau's Freedom of Information Act requests related to Bigfoot -- which you can now peruse from the comfort of your own home.  

LAUREN'S CAMPAIGN TRAIL LATEST

Bernie Sanders: Is headed to the Walmart shareholders meeting to introduce a employee proposal to put workers on the company's board

Joe Biden: Still backs a restriction on using federal funds for abortions (known as the Hyde Amendment), a key difference between him and much of the rest of the 2020 field.

Cory Booker: Has released a plan to combat issues with access to affordable housing.

Beto O'Rourke: Calls for term and donation limits in a newly released voting rights plan.

Donald Trump: Has a boost of sorts -- 52% of Americans think he'll win reelection, according to a new CNN/SSRS poll.

YOUR DAILY GIF

From Brenna: "This scratch/glasses adjustment thing that Gov. Jay Inslee is doing kind of looks like the not-so-subtle gesture movie characters in Vegas make when they're trying to rig a card game. Share The Point with a card shark in your life!"
We'd love to share our other newsletters with you. Follow this link for daily coverage of the world's top stories, savvy market insights, an insider's look into the media, and more. Send your tips and thoughts via email to Chris Cillizza and Lauren Dezenski. Follow Chris and Lauren on Twitter.
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