The Point: Is it panic time for Kamala Harris?


August 21, 2019  | by Chris Cillizza and Lauren Dezenski

Is it panic time for Kamala Harris?

The whispers began within minutes of the release of CNN's new national poll on the 2020 field: Is something wrong with Sen. Kamala Harris' campaign?

The poll showed the California Democrat dropping from 17% (and in second place) in a June CNN survey to 5% (and tied for fourth) now. 

Which is not good! And the poll numbers come on top of the fact that Harris has now come under fire from Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont for her ongoing struggle to make clear where she stands on "Medicare for All."

But before any of her supporters panic, they should take a deep breath and a step back. Here's why.

The CNN June poll was in the field June 28-30. That was hard on the heels of the second night of the first Democratic debate -- a debate in which Harris was the clear star, scoring a direct hit on former Vice President Joe Biden by attacking his record on school busing.

So as the poll was being conducted, Harris was all over the news -- drawing raves for her performance. It makes sense then that the poll showed her soaring all the way into second place. It was a bubble. And a totally expected one.

We've seen this in the race before. South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg went from an asterisk early this year into low double digits in some polling in the spring, amid a slew of positive press attention and strong public appearances. But after the spotlight moved on, Buttigieg's numbers returned to earth.

That's exactly what's happening to Harris right now. The CNN poll captured her at her absolute apex. There is no way -- short of a multimillion-dollar ad buy nationally by Harris -- that she could sustain those heights. And it wouldn't make much sense from her campaign's strategic perspective to do so since they will need all that money (and more) to spend on ads in Iowa, New Hampshire and beyond.  You don't need to peak in August 2019. You need to peak in February/March 2020.

The Point: Harris is doing just fine. She isn't the front-runner. But she's in the lead pack -- and that's right where she wants and needs to be.

-- Chris

QUOTE OF THE DAY

"I am the chosen one"

-- President Trump on the US trade war with China and his claim that he as President needs to take on China's unfair trade practices.

DANCING DOWN MEMORY LANE

In honor of Sean Spicer's addition to the new cast of "Dancing with the Stars," let's recall that this isn't exactly a new venture for the former White House press secretary.

Back in 2017, ABC producers were reportedly in talks with Spicer to join the show. That never materialized. Then in 2018, the show came up during his book tour. Spicer said he would not be on the show, adding, "It's no, zero on rhythm. I wouldn't do that to viewers."

Which brings us to today. Spicer is still minimizing his dancing skills. "I was kicked out of band in sixth grade and the quote was, 'You have the sense of beat of a steamroller,' " Spicer told "Good Morning America."

🎧 Lauren digs into why Spicer's "Dancing with the Stars" appearance has nothing to do with dancing -- and everything to do with image rehabilitation -- in today's Point podcast. 

🖋Chris writes that Sean Spicer's celebrity is proof we are doing it wrong.


CHRIS' GOOD READS

Julia Ioffe on the "summer of Warren"

On Sean Spicer's "Dancing with the Stars" selection, via James Poniewozik

An absolutely amazing interactive graphic on how five days have defined the 2020 money chase

Inside the hunt for a $7 million(!) car

God, I loved Portishead

MUSICAL INTERLUDE

Angel Olsen has released some of the most beautiful -- and haunting -- music of the last few years. ("Burn Your Fire for No Witness" is amazing.) This is her new one: "All Mirrors."

THE 1-WEEK BLITZ

It's crunch time for a dozen-some Democrats.

There is one week left for candidates to meet the fundraising and polling threshold to qualify for the third Democratic debate, to be held in Houston.

For candidates who have yet to qualify, like Tom Steyer, Kirsten Gillibrand and Steve Bullock, that looming deadline has caused a blitz of advertising spending on social media networks like Facebook.  

Here's who has qualified for the debate so far

LAUREN'S CAMPAIGN TRAIL LATEST

Jay Inslee: Has rounded out his climate change public-policy proposals with an agriculture plan, which would include paying farmers who take certain steps to remove carbon from the environment.

Bernie Sanders: Rolled out policies designed to revive and newly empower organized labor, to include ending so-called right-to-work laws.

Tulsi Gabbard: Said she would build a wave pool at the White House.

ONE BIG NUMBER

84
 
The number of false claims President Donald Trump made in the last week. Among the topics: Greenland, Joe Biden, wind, the WTO, the time of day and the 2016 election.

That was his highest total in the six weeks since CNN began counting.
We'd love to share our other newsletters with you. Follow this link for daily coverage of the world's top stories, savvy market insights, an insider's look into the media, and more. Send your tips and thoughts via email to Chris Cillizza and Lauren Dezenski. Follow Chris and Lauren on Twitter.
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