The Point: 'Beto Boom' goes bust, bigly


July 16, 2019  | by Chris Cillizza and Lauren Dezenski

'Beto Boom' goes bust, bigly

It's been a very bad week for Beto O'Rourke. And it's only Tuesday.

On Monday night, O'Rourke announced that he had raised just $3.6 million between April 1 and June 30, a massive decline from the $9.4 million the former Texas congressman -- and 2018 Senate nominee -- raised in just 18 days as a 2020 candidate in the first quarter of this year. And the bad news didn't end there. He also spent more money than he took in over the past three months: O'Rourke had a burn rate of 146%, according to calculations from NBC News.

"We have the resources we need to be in this for the long haul, but if we don't raise more this quarter, we'll have no choice but to make some adjustments," O'Rourke campaign manager Jen O'Malley Dillon acknowledged in an email to supporters on Monday night.

The bad news wasn't done. A new New Hampshire poll from Saint Anselm College showed O'Rourke at 0% in the Granite State. A goose egg! (A CNN survey released Tuesday showed O'Rourke at 2% in the state.)

That slide is consistent with O'Rourke's broader struggles in national polling over the past few months; the Real Clear Politics national polling average puts O'Rourke at 2.6%, good for fifth place overall.

The combination of his disappointing fundraising numbers combined with his ever-shrinking poll numbers has to represent rock bottom for a campaign that began with such promise. O'Rourke became a national sensation during his challenge to Republican Sen. Ted Cruz in 2018 and, when he entered the 2020 race, was widely regarded as one of the most likely nominees for the party.

Those days feel like 100 years ago now. O'Rourke's performance from the time he formally entered the race on March 14 is best described as listless. He seems like a man without a plan, lost amid a sea of more knowledgeable and more aggressive rivals. (The beatdown he took on immigration at the hands of former San Antonio Mayor Julián Castro in the first debate cemented that impression for many people.)

Yes, it is still early in the 2020 race. (There are 202 days until the Iowa caucuses.) But O'Rourke's trend line since he got into this thing is straight down. He needs a major moment sometime soon. If he doesn't make one, his fundraising will continue to drag and staying in the race will look like a more and more difficult proposition.

The Point: Beto has to hope that not only has he bottomed out, but that he has enough time to bounce back. I'm skeptical -- but not convinced he's done just yet.

-- Chris

QUOTE OF THE DAY

"Every American is familiar with Hot Pockets, a culinary staple of busy families, workers and college students everywhere."

-- Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, touting Hot Pockets (all baked in his district!) from the Senate floor.

HE'S BACK

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Republicans are very worried about Roy Moore's Senate run reprise.

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LAUREN'S GOOD READS

House session condemning Trump's racist comments devolves into fight

Joe Biden leads the 2020 pack in CNN's latest poll of New Hampshire

Kamala Harris' Russian bot claim is complicated

Chicago's newest celeb: Chance the Snapper (and the Florida man who caught him)

My quads are sore just looking at this

The 90 Day Fiancé empire is wild and sprawling 

Batman chins, ranked

MUSICAL INTERLUDE

A new song from Of Monsters and Men! Tuesday made!

'Sir'


President Donald Trump's tell-tale sign that he's being dishonest, according to CNN's Daniel Dale, who writes:

I've fact-checked every word Trump has uttered since his inauguration. I can tell you that if this President relays an anecdote in which he has someone referring to him as "sir," then some major component of the anecdote is very likely to be wrong.
Lots of people do call Trump "sir," of course. But the word seems to pop into his head more frequently when he is inventing or exaggerating a conversation than when he is faithfully relaying one. A "sir" is a flashing red light that he is speaking from his imagination rather than his memory.

Trump has told false "sir" stories on all manner of subjects: health care, the Middle East, the courtsunions and -- just last week -- both tariffs and social media. But no genre of Trump story is more reliably sir-heavy than his collection of suspiciously similar tales about macho men breaking into tears of gratitude in his presence.

LAUREN'S CAMPAIGN TRAIL LATEST

Kamala Harris: Wants the federal government to set the price of some drugs to lower costs.

Joe Biden: Has shut down his cancer nonprofit, created after leaving the White House. 

Bernie Sanders: Is proposing a $20 billion bailout fund for struggling hospitals.

Tulsi Gabbard: Can count Twitter CEO Jack Dorsey as one of her donors -- he donated the maximum amount to her presidential campaign the day after she appeared in the first debate. 

YOUR DAILY GIF

From Brenna: "ICYMI: It's the Apollo 11 50th anniversary and someone finally remembered to pick up Neil Armstrong's spacesuit at the cleaner! Share The Point with someone whose cleaning has been on 'temporary' display since Apollo 11's last anniversary!"
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