| | | | Poll: Clinton lead swells to 12 points nationally | | Hillary Clinton has a 12-point lead over Donald Trump and has reached 50% support nationally among likely voters, a new ABC News tracking poll shows. The poll shows Clinton with 50% support to Trump's 38%, with 5% backing Libertarian Gary Johnson and 2% supporting the Green Party's Jill Stein.
How Clinton is doing it: She has a 20-point advantage among women, and a 3-point edge with men -- a group that has tilted toward Trump for most of the 2016 race. Trump's strongest group remains white, non-college educated voters, who back him 55% to 36%. More notes on the poll.
"We are behind," Trump campaign manager Kellyanne Conway conceded on NBC's "Meet the Press" today.
On CNN's "State of the Union" with Jake Tapper, Conway touted Trump's call Saturday in Gettysburg, Pennsylvania, to "drain the swamp" of Washington -- while also distancing herself from Trump's lengthy attack on women who have accused him of sexual misconduct, which overshadowed that speech. "He delivers his own speeches. This is his candidacy. He's the guy who's running for the White House, and he has the privilege to say what he wants," Conway told Tapper. | | "I do have a temper. So, I mean, I imagine I've got an email or two out there that people might find unusual." | | | | President Barack Obama set his South Side fandom aside to join Cubs fans (yours truly included) in celebrating the team's first World Series appearance since 1945. | | Obama's unprecedented down-ballot push | | President Barack Obama is taking an unprecedented step into down-ballot races in the final two weeks before the 2016 election. Obama is set to endorse 150 state legislative candidates -- part of an effort to flip Republican-controlled legislatures across the country ahead of the 2020 redistricting battle.
The scoop came from Politico's Edward-Isaac Dovere, who reports: "The endorsements -- which will come along with a variety of robocalls, social media posts, mailers, photos of Obama with the candidates taken as he's been traveling to campaign in recent weeks, and even a few radio ads -- are Obama's biggest investment in state races ever by far, and come as he gears up to make redistricting reform at the state level the political priority of his post-presidency."
Already, Obama has cut TV ads for five Senate Democratic candidates: Patrick Murphy of Florida, Kamala Harris of California, Tammy Duckworth of Illinois, Deborah Ross of North Carolina and Katie McGinty of Pennsylvania. He also appears in a TV spot for Oregon Gov. Kate Brown and House contenders Bryan Caforio in California, Charlie Crist in Florida, Brad Schneider in Illinois, Terri Bonoff in Minnesota and Colleen Deacon in New York.
In Missouri's Senate race, it wasn't Obama -- but the best TV ad of the cycle, featuring Democratic challenger Jason Kander putting together an AR-15 assault rifle blindfolded while assailing incumbent Sen. Roy Blunt -- that catapulted the race into competitive territory. The New York Times' Jennifer Steinhauer looks at it.
A short-lived majority? Even if Democrats do win the Senate this fall, that majority likely won't last past the 2018 cycle -- which features a brutal map for Democrats, with incumbents in Indiana, Missouri, Montana, North Dakota and West Virginia up for re-election, writes The Washington Post's Chris Cillizza. | | | Kate McKinnon's Hillary Clinton claimed to have "Bingo" in last night's "Saturday Night Live" cold open spoofing the third presidential debate -- and Donald Trump's use of "bad hombres" and "nasty woman." | | Clinton is reaching out to Republican senators | | From John King's "Inside Politics" forecast: Hillary Clinton is already quietly and privately reaching out to Senate Republicans -- allowing herself to look ahead at the prospect of trying to govern.
"I'm told she's been talking to Republican senators, old allies and new, saying that she is willing to work with them and govern. On the campaign trail, she clings very closely to President Obama. She needs him (in order) to win the election," CNN's Jeff Zeleny said on "Inside Politics" today. "But she also is signaling she will be a different kind of president. She will work with (Republicans). She wants to have an open-door policy." | | Kaine: Clinton might seek Asia-Pacific trade deals | | | Tim Kaine says he and Hillary Clinton oppose the Trans-Pacific Partnership -- but that doesn't mean they're opposed to redoing it or negotiating an Asia-Pacific trade deal in the future. "You never close the door if you can get a deal that's going to be good for American workers and our economy," the Virginia senator said on NBC's "Meet the Press." "We aren't against trade." | | | Hillary Clinton campaign manager Robby Mook says there's no evidence of pay-to-play schemes in Clinton's history. ... Clinton and first lady Michelle Obama will hold their first joint rally Thursday. ... Independent candidate Evan McMullin says winning a state -- with Utah as his best bet -- "would send a message about principles." | | | Get the Nightcap, a comprehensive summary of the most important political news, delivered to your inbox daily. | | | | | |
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